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brazil-election-prediction-market-miss-lula-2026
2026-10-26
Brazil Election Prediction Market Miss as Lula Wins at 20% Odds
Polymarket and Kalshi priced Flávio Bolsonaro at roughly 80% before Brazil's runoff; Lula won with 51.8% of the vote. The $249M Polymarket market resolved against the favorite, reo…
Prediction MarketsAgent-to-Agent Micro-Economies